Re: The Frankel Forecast (318 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: April 30, 2005 07:33PM
1-- Frankel is a guy who has been succesful as a trainer, and a guy who has a rudimentary idea of how to use sheets-- the reasons he has been successful predate his use of sheets by several decades, and include having an unbelievable array of well bred horses who don't start their careers with him. In terms of using sheets to buy and manage horses I have been far more successful than he has, especially considering the total capital investment my clients have spent on horses is a small percentage of what his clients spend in one year. We're up to 68 horses that have won about 150 stakes for our clients, on a budget.
2-- People overuse the term bounce, but that does not mean that horses don't bounce-- it's all percentages, which is why we publish the Thoro-Pattern.
3-- We used to look for horses moving forward in the Derby, but training patterns have changed. If you take a look at last year's seminar, available on this site, you will see I discussed the small percentage of Derby starters that have run new tops over the last few years. I'll be talking about which of the fast horses are least likely to bounce and why in this year's seminar, and which of the horses in range are most likely to go forward.
TGJB
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