Richebee,

No, I won't be sharing a box with High Roller. Something about a guy who asks for help/answers, then you give him those answers and he replies with condescension, instead of gratitude. I see from his last post, that he is another that always wins at the expense of people like us posters here. Personally, I am now terrified to bet money into a pool that Mike Brown bets into..... I may have to give up gambling out of fear and intimidation.......

Onto the more important questions about the Derby.

BAnd news for you. I agree with a lot of what you write and the horses haven't been kind to me in April. I even buy into your odds approximations.

I will be throwing Afleet Alex and Greeley's Galaxy out of my superfectas, to try and get value, since my list of horses in the first slot is pretty chalky. I will use Bellamy Road, Noble Causeway and Bandini in the 1st slot.

I love the Oaks/Derby double and the Pick-4 Culminating with the Derby also, but this year doesn't look as appetizing because of Sis city and Madcap Escapade, as you say. Don't know who is running against Madcap, but hard to imagine her getting beat after her last race at Keenland. As for Sis city, before her last race, she wasn't much faster than Summerly, in fact I believe both had tops of "3". But Summerly didn't fire and Sis City ran well (didn't see the T-Graph figure yet). Maybe Summerly bounces back (Didn't like Keenland?) and runs a big one and at least runs quick early, not letting Sis City get an early, easy lead. Bailey is on Summerly. I love the jockey change to Pat Valenzuela on Runway Model.

Runway Model and Summerly over Bellamy Road, Noble Causeway and Bandini.