Re: The Jerry Brown Strategy (461 Views)
Date: May 09, 2005 03:36PM
TGJB,
I understand what you are saying.
Of course it's possible that drugs and cuts played a part. Heck, I liked Bandini's chances and he's still running - without any excuse from me.
I think there is a difference between liking a horse that most agreed would probably run well and watching him run poorly and one that some sharp people totally hated and watching him run poorly - especially if one of the reasons they hated him comes to pass.
In my estimation, it is way more likely that HL didn't want 10F in a race loaded with speed than it is that he would have run a big race had it not been for cuts and the "possibility" that he ran drug free for the first time this year.
I didn't expect him to run that poorly, but I expected him to be up the track.
I think he will run much better at Pimilico because the rabbits will be gone, the field will be smaller, and the distance will be shorter. He will get decent position early and last for as long as he lasts (depending on pace and track conditions).