Re: TGJB Response (539 Views)
Posted by:
albany (IP Logged)
Date: May 08, 2005 04:07PM
Chuckles:
Unfortunately, I didn't bet Giacomo. With the benefit of hindsight, there was a possibility of picking Giacomo if you accepted two propositions.
Proposition 1: Due to the presence of so many speed horses and pace pressers, it was likely that there would be a pace collapse in the Derby. This proposition would reduce the field of contenders to intermediate and deep closers.
Proposition 2: The California contingent wasn't as bad as most people thought. Following through on Proposition #1, the three California closers were Wilko, Giacomo and Don't Get Mad.
As my earlier posts indicate, I liked Wilko because I thought he was sitting on a big race. I preferred Wilko over Giacomo because he beat him in the SA Derby after enduring a less favorable trip. Yet, in retrospect, it should be noted that Giacomo was only a couple of lengths off Wilko in the SA Derby. As you may recall, I selected Don't Get Mad fourth.
My analysis wasn't far off the mark, but it wasn't right on. Close only counts in horse shoes.
As always, thanks for your insights.
Post Edited (05-08-05 21:04)