Re: Briefly (386 Views)
Posted by:
jbelfior (IP Logged)
Date: May 08, 2005 06:58PM
Pletcher will probably run FLOWER ALLEY.
I'm hoping Zito runs HIGH FLY. Perhaps the Derby race is just what he needed off of the 5 week layoff.
I do not agree with you TGJB when you say that pace was not the overriding factor. An overly hot pace at a distance never traveled throws all prior performance ratings into the trash. Sorry, that's just the way it is.
Performance ratings are a terrific tool, however they do not hold up under ALL circumstances. Horses with 5's and 4's as their best numbers do not suddenly step up and win the Derby unless something unusual (e.g. an overly hot pace) causes the others who have superior numbers to not run their normal race.
Now on to the PREAKNESS with no rabbits, less horses, and hopefully a sensible pace where the numbers can be used with confidence to help solve the next puzzle.
Good Luck,
Joe B.