"He's liable to be the favorite though, so taking a shot at him is logical on the Derby bounce. On the training, its downright foolish."

Chuckles,

It's not foolish! The horse has endured the training PLUS the grueling Derby. I posted this BEFORE the race, that the training will catch up with up even more AFTER May 7.

How can you separate the training from the racing? He ran two-a-days PLUS he ran in the Derby. Now he has to go again in two weeks? You can only HOPE he's the favorite. I don't think he will be.

As has been pointed out AD NAUSEUM they CRAWLED home and he was FLAT AS A PANCAKE in the stretch when he was in position to win the race. In fact, that would be my chart comment, FLAT AS A PANCAKE. And you don't think the training MAY have had something to do with it? That he couldn't go wailing past the dying speed that was coming home in like, TWO HOURS? (okay, a .54 final half, it just felt like two hours).

Looking at the race beforehand, if ANY of the MAJOR contenders figured to benefit from the pace scenario, wasn't it AFLEET ALEX? Wasn't he the only one who figured to come from OFF the pace, rather than be close to or stalking it? So they had a hot pace, and here comes AFLEET ALEX in the stretch and he can't win in this perfect setup? This tells you the training regimen is SOLID? Betting against the horse because his trainer was killing his horse with two-a-days before the Kentucky Derby is FOOLISH?

When I get back, I'll review your seven horse list of Preakness contenders...

HP