Re: ROTW (574 Views)
Posted by:
J-DUB (IP Logged)
Date: June 18, 2005 11:39AM
shanahan,
Keep in mind the 28% for off and the 57% for "x" are based on his effective top, in this case a negative 6. Even with a regression he is more than likely to run another negative number in relation to his "effective" top. With his history of firing big off of layoffs and the % still being in his favor of running a negative, not so sure he is a bet against based on the thoro-pattern alone. However, throw in the low odds and likely pace scenario you may very well be showing good judgement in taking that approach.
Perfect Drift has the figures to be right there and has run well at CD. He may be the one today. Good luck.
JW
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