Saint Elmo's Fire - With a (3) 2-1-0 record at Churchill it may be questionable to speculate he isn't ideal over the track, but he did grind to win the Clark and the Clark number though good certainly doesnt tower over this field. The weight shift between Saint and Dread is enough to alter the Clark outcome. However, there is the negative 4 and 6 to worry about, (They both are "bore out" numbers), but this is a different track that many times isn't going to yield an outrageous figure. If St.Elmo runs a negative 1 or negative 1 and change does that make him the winner? Underneath exotics use.

Contrary to Saint Elmo's Fire is the Churchill record on Perfect Dread, its (6) 1-2-3 Some may look at that and say "He doesn't really care for the strip". Tend to think the reverse is true. That his best numbers are run here. If he can return to best or near best, he has a shot to win. Atop lightly and in exotics.

Presidential Affair is the fastest of the fast here. Badge of Silver will have to run at thim. Running hard early didn't work out real well for Badge in the last one. Some think Presidential's the same horse slop or dry. I'm not of that opinion and tend to think he wants a dry track. That was a heckuva race last on a surface that sapped early speed. His best here probably wins, but his yearly campaigns have fizzled after his best efforts and he started this campaign with a zinger. How to interpret that? I'll do so on odds and probably make this horse a win and exotics play.

I'm looking at multiple sources on M.B.Sea. I'm stunned TGraph has him running only a 2.1 that last race. Theres the Off Poorly notation, but this horse always breaks like a donkey. His best TFig is a negative 0.2 Even that may not be enough but I'm looking for his best race today and will use him in exotics.

Badge of Silver is the cheater doubled. He can't be ignored and is a good horse. His best is a negative 2. That could certainly win, but that negative 2 was a front end effort and he may press a bit from off the pace. I'm looking for a negative 1 or thereabouts first time on the track and from behind. That could win, it may not. Underneath exotics use.