Re: 7th at Belmont + Question to JB (482 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: June 23, 2005 01:26PM
Good points HP.
Even though he is 6, he has only had 14 lifetime races. Not sure if that would make him much more likely to run a new than a 6 year old with 30 races (I have no stats and no clue on that).
I also hear you on the 5-2/great bet. I know a few smart gamblers (there is such a thing), that don't consider making substantial win bets unless the odds are 5-1 or higher.
I guess for me, if I make the horse 50% to win the race, then 5-2 is a great bet (by my subjective definition).
You don't have the sheet in front of you, but West Virginia looks slow and an underlay, SHow Boot's top is a 4, which is not likely to win here, Karakorum Patriot is steady, but too slow. To me it is 80% plus that either Legislature or Clever Electrician win the race and I make Legislature more likely at the weights. Given the relative odds, I am going to take my chances.
The 1.75 is a pair up of the top. (your question)
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