Re: ROTW (561 Views)
Posted by:
bjt (IP Logged)
Date: June 25, 2005 07:59AM
A few thoughts on the Queens's Plate card:
4th race - At the weights ITW looks as fast as SF - but I really can't see opposing the favourite here . SF is 8 for 9 on the Woodbine turf - only losing to Touch of the Blues in the G1 Atto Mile in 2003 .
5th race - QK hardly looks like a prototypical winner of a NW1 race - but toss the lone turf try and the line looks very solid and fast vs the rest of the field .I write this before seeing the ML - but I wouldn't take less than 4-1.
6th race - BOF is the most successful marathon turf horse in the field - likes the course and had a decent 4yo seasonal bow . Should go gate to wire.
7th - A very competetive race . KR penultimate # may be somewhat buried to the public . A 5w effort at 7F May 23 makes him the fastest horse . I believe the horse is a more effective off the pace sprinter than a router . FR is an obvious danger - but will need a helluva a trip from the 14 hole.
9th race - I've got to disagree with HP here - I think the filly is the play .
She is visually impressive and is obviously the fastest horse . her best will win - or even a small backward move still wins . Hopefully she goes off a little better than the ML . Three in the bag looks solid - but the jockey has never seen a 4path trip he didn't love - so groundloss is a concern .
Frankel has done nothing up here this year 1for17 - so I'll take a stand against WD.
10th race - SN 2yo turf number holds up here as good or better than the field save SS 2yo turf debut .
SS make his seasonal bow - so I believe SN holds the edge . Dirt numbers are ok so he should go well here .
bj
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