Class,

Congrats. You went the whole analysis without mentioning pace. :)

I think you are right about King of Jazz. I think there is some evidence that the figure he earned on 4/22 might be light. Would like to hear from Jerry on how solid he is on that figure.

I have to use Wild Desert though. The whole thing smells with this horse. He switches to Dutrow, shows no published works for months. But he has been working "real well" according to the stable, but somehow the Monmouth clockers didn't recognize the horse, so they didn't capture the workouts. PVal, goes up to Canada to ride the horse, gotta believe he doesn't need the frequent flier miles, so he is going because he thinks the horse has a shot.

The filly is real fast and could be any kind. But the 3rd race in a short span, off of two weeks rest, going 1 1/4, as either the favorite or 2nd favorite, makes me want to bet against her in the top slot.

Hoping Dance with Ravens goes off the favorite. He and his perfect pedigree, makes him a "poor man's Saarland" in my book.

Probably play King of Jazz and Wild Desert over King of Jazz, Wild Desert and the filly. Maybe a win bet on either KoJ or WD, depending on the odds.

Good luck.