Re: ROTW (534 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: June 25, 2005 09:34AM
Granique - too slow
Molinaro Beau - too slow
Runaway Mon - too slow
King of Jazz - I wish this was 9F instead of 10F because I think this horse is much less likely to move backwards than it looks. I'm just a little suspect about his desire to go 10F. If there are any pedigree experts out there, I'd like to hear what you have to say about that. KOJ's MSW race on 4/22 came back very slow. It was a very sensible figure based on the horses in that race. However, virtually every horse that has run out of that race has run a much improved figure in their next start (or 2). So either all of them including KOJ mysteriously improved at the same time by similar amounts or there's something freaky about that figure that no one picked up on because it made so much sense at the time it was made. His pattern and workout line looks a lot healthier to me when viewed in the light of that 4/22 race being better than it looks. Plus we know that these limited winners from the US fit well at WO based on Three in the Bag. If this horse wants 10F, IMO he is very dangerous.
Wild Desert - This is actually first time Dutrow, not Frankel. Frankel took over when Dutrow got suspended. IMHO, that makes this horse even more dangerous because I think Dutrow is more dangerous with higher quality stock first time when he works with it for a couple of months before racing. The only knock I can find is the running style. I don't like deep closers like this unless I expect the race to fall apart and I don't really see that here. This type usually makes a nice run without getting the job done. This is a horse I won't bet on top unless the price is just begging me to use him, but if he shows more speed and wins for Frankel/Dutrow I guarantee I'll be spitting.
Ablo - a little too slow for me.
Gold Strike - High caliber filly in a race with very mediocre colts. Fits very well.
Three in the Bag - Fits well, but several of his stretch runs don't inspire a lot of confidence about his desire to go 10F.
Dance with Ravens - Lightly raced very well bred improving colt fits well, but has been life and death in the stretch to beat these mediocre colts and could be overrated in the betting.
Get Down - Couldn't handle TITB and DWR and doesn't look like a horse that will appreciate an extra furlong.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 06/25/2005 10:10AM by classhandicapper.
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