initial thoughts:

masseuse - half to two very nice turf horses (take a look at the TG sire stats). jogged first out this year, then improved a bunch last. with castellano up from post one, a ground saving trip is likely (notice JJ's turf stats - path and ROI). interesting horse.

flashy three - looks a bit slow

rich in spirit - stuck with 122 lbs, but gets a nice post and stevens. deserving favorite has the best figs. a matter of odds.

stravinsky's gal - too slow

dynamist - improved a bunch last over this course. gets velazquez, and has competitive #'s. one of the ones.

snug harbour - most likely will give it up late, but not a bad stab for the exotics. jock has amazing turf stats, and the breeding is not as bad as one may think (half to two nice distance horses).

defensa - pattern heading in the right direction, and they have obviously been pointing towards this. needs another "3" or so points of improvement, and might lose one or two in ground loss, but has a shot.

my typhoon - out of the brilliant Arc winner urban sea, and is a half to the brilliant galileo, winner of english and irish derby's. got a bit tired in her first start of the year (notice the "bi"), then gave it up in the stretch in the sands point. eligible to improve in her third start, but odds might be a bit low, and bailey might have to give up a few lengths in ground loss trying to rate this filly. tough call.

great betting race. more to come as we get closer.