Re: Cnl 7/16: All Along Breeders Cup (445 Views)
Posted by:
Michael D. (IP Logged)
Date: July 15, 2005 07:58PM
a huge field without a lot of pace. not much distance from the start to the first turn either. many of these will have their chances greatly compromised by the time they hit the backstretch. stupendous miss is the fastest, and she has a bit of tactical speed. i have to use her on top. path of thunder is also capable of runnng a fast 9f. looking at the works, seems as though pletcher is trying to teach her how to rate. from post 12 though, they really have no choice but to go. should get a decent trip. if the turf is firm, i will have her on top on some tickets as well. my uses underneath are:
stormin daina - huge odds. ran a series of "7"s in the spring in some tough races. not sure what happened last, but i doubt it took much out of her. nice post.
with affection - long odds. 9f is a bit of a stretch, but she should get a perfect trip on top. expecting a run in the "6-7" range.
broad hopes - long odds. nice pattern, nice race last. if castellano can save some ground, i think this one will be close at the end.
snowdrops - forget the last two. GP race was too long off two weeks rest, and she could have run a lot faster last. expecting a return to the "5" range.
humoristic - i think she came back a better horse as a four year old. ran a nice "5.25" first out at pim, then was the victim of a classic gryder ride last. expecting a run in the "6" range, but ground loss will be a major issue.
briviesca - nearly impossible spot for bailey here. i guess he uses her a bit from post 14, but he will still lose ground.
a great superfecta race. i guess i will key SM and POT on top, and spread it deep underneath in the supers, hope one of those bombs gets in there.