Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  2024 Kentucky Oaks/Derby Days Final Figures Churchill Downs May 3 & May 4, 2024 
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (539 Views)
Posted by: jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: August 29, 2005 11:17AM

Have to agree with the Clown in being careful on Bellamy in the future books. Based on his short history, we SHOULD have seen his best race on Saturday. That "injury" he had was minor, he was running fresh, which he does well, and he was running with an uncontested lead, which of course he prefers.

I know people see races differently and who is to say who is right, but I don't give Bellamy a big plus for his race on Saturday. The TV guys seemed to talk as much about him in defeat, as they did about Flower Alley in victory. One article I read compared Bellamy Road's defeat to Seattle Slew's loss years ago when he was so game in defeat after being dueled into submission, spotting weight, then coming again in the stretch. Bellamy had things his own way and for my nickel, he was not "coming again" in the stretch, what we saw was an illusion. Flower Alley has an established pattern of gawking and stopping once he makes the lead. He did that again in the stretch on Saturday until Johnny V got his attention and then he took off again.

I guess we have to reserve final judgment until the figures come out, but I don't think Bellamy ran that well. Very few people thought Flower Alley was a world beat before the race and Roman Ruler has been ouchy his whole short career and was coming back off 3 weeks rest, following a new top. The rest were slow. I guess it could be sour grapes on my part because I bet Bellamy hard on Saturday, but I didn't think the horse ran exceptionally well and I think he will be hardpressed to race better in the Jockey Club Gold Cup and BC Classic, considering there is little doubt he will be challenged hard on the lead, which to me is a bigger hindrance to this horse than the layoff.

Time will tell.




Subject Written By Posted
Triangulate for Reliabilty (933 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 08/29/2005 01:56AM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (539 Views) jimbo66 08/29/2005 11:17AM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (491 Views) davidrex 08/29/2005 11:34AM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (503 Views) miff 08/29/2005 11:38AM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (501 Views) richiebee 08/29/2005 01:26PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (484 Views) richiebee 08/29/2005 02:50PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (492 Views) miff 08/29/2005 03:05PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (468 Views) richiebee 08/29/2005 03:22PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (457 Views) 08/30/2005 10:34AM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (520 Views) 08/29/2005 01:48PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (469 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 08/29/2005 02:28PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (450 Views) miff 08/29/2005 02:47PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (495 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 08/29/2005 03:05PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (469 Views) miff 08/29/2005 03:23PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (460 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 08/29/2005 03:32PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (453 Views) richiebee 08/29/2005 03:41PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (458 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 08/29/2005 03:52PM
Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (518 Views) dodie 08/29/2005 11:42PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.