Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (518 Views)
Posted by:
dodie (IP Logged)
Date: August 29, 2005 11:42PM
I have to say I can't remember the last time I was so interested in a 7 horse race. (one that I think we can all agree was really a 3 horse race at best, and, to my mind, only a 2 horse race when I got done handicapping)
I've really enjoyed all the posts. This is what makes this such a great sport.
A couple of points:
1. I agree that, in the end, this is really about the breeding shed. that is where the real money is made. Anyone who's had a nice horse knows that used car salesmen have nothing on the reps from the various breeding outfits as they schmooze and angle there way in to getting the best studs on the most profitable terms. That's why we had a 7 horse feild that only amounted to 3 contenders at best on Saturday. The triple crown is what gets the attention. That's what everyone shoots for.
2. That said, Flower Alley stood out once one accepted his conditioning edge over BR, plus the "effect" of the Wood, either super effort (read career knockout) or over inflated number that may well be no better that FA's -2 in the Dandy. In any event, neither horse disgraced themselves Saturday. And I'm hoping we'll get to see them both race at least once before the BC, and against older horses. Unless one of them shows something special in their next race, I don't think they have what it takes to beat older horses. And I have to say, I like the idea of a Euro shipper, given the continued decimation of the US handicap ranks.