Re: Triangulate for Reliabilty (469 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: August 29, 2005 02:28PM
2:02:76 is a legitmate time at Saratoga. If my math is correct the winner came home in 26:28. Certainly not top class, but not bad considering he had to force the front runner.
The defeated front runner came home in 26:98. Thats bordering upon chuck it, but was certainly better than his Derby fraction. Roman Ruler finished about the same. 26:93
Roman Ruler probably isn't a 10 mark horse, but when TGraph makes the number its pretty clear it will score out better than Bellamania's figure. He went another furlong on a real surface and he picked up 7 pounds doing it. The question is did he repeat his -1.1 in doing so. Somewhat unlikely. I thought Roman Ruler ran a good race all things considered and its fairly clear he did.
Just guessing Flower Alley was in the neg 1 to perhaps neg 2 range. Not bad, but not enough for a horse like Alex and probably not enough for some of the others he'd have to face. Big speculation as to whether Alley can sweep the last two 10 mark races to even cause a debate regarding Champion 3YO or Horse of the Year. If he does sweep them, in all likelihood hes gonna have to run quite a bit faster than he did on Travers day.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 08/29/2005 02:33PM by Chuckles_the_Clown2.
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