Re: Penn Derby Odds (441 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: September 06, 2005 08:58AM
I thought Sun King was clearly the best horse. However, I also thought he had two relatively easy trips in his last 2 races. There certainly had to be "some" probability that he would get a very difficult trip from the 14 post given his style. What that probability was I don't know, but I've seen many horses like this (especially when they are slightly suspect in the stamina department) wind up up the track. I also didn't like the horses coming out of the West Virgina Derby because I thought that race had a contentious pace where all the front runners collapsed and made the closers look better than they were or Quadrant who I thought may have been helped a bit by a speed favoring surface. IMO, there were also a couple of horses in the race that looked set to improve. I boxed the 2nd and 3rd place finishers in there. Sun King won so easily, maybe I underestimated him, but I think he may have actually improved. He also wound up getting a decent trip sitting off that pace without losing too much ground. Who knows? I ripped up my tickets, but I don't feel too badly about that bet given that I was a tough trip or a subbar perforamnce away from a monster ticket.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 09/06/2005 09:01AM by classhandicapper.
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