beyerguy Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I said this before the race, so I have no problem
> saying it now. I just don't see any reason to
> have bet against Sun King. This horse was the
> ultimate legit favorite in my opinion. Now,
> whether to bet him at 7-5 is a personal preference
> for the bettor to decide, but no way I was going
> against him in this spot.

What can we say? You were right. This game is about beating favorites and/or horses that tie up big money. Thats where you have to take aim.

I've taken that swing before. I'm gonna take it again. Tossed Sun King from all paying spots. Unfortunately, when you bet you sometimes err. The only reason not to take the shot is if you think the horse lays over the field. I do think that was probably Sun King's best race and maybe hes better than I thought, but that was a tough field to make superiority judgements upon, his competition didn't fire. All the +2 horses were compromised.

I'm less disappointed in Sun King overcoming than Quadrant not showing more because the lion's share of my bets involved him. Still, if Sun King bounced, which was a possibility, the perfecta would have been juicy.

Hindsight is always golden. I'd definitely bet the Sun King/Southern Africa/Smokescreen/Network knowing what I know today. I'd even bet Sun King to win at, what was he 8-5?