Re: Drugs/Two derby Preps/DW Lukas/ParaneckStables (617 Views)
Posted by:
bobphilo (IP Logged)
Date: March 27, 2006 01:34PM
Richiebee,
Your points are well taken. With regard to the Derby, for the reasons you mentioned, including the huge field (many of which don’t even belong), the race is often a horror show of bad trips making it one of the most unpredictable races possible. In their frustration many handicappers throw away all the proven handicapping methods and try to “reinvent the handicapping wheel” based on too small samples. These can range anywhere from the discredited Dosage theory to the 3 prep minimum rule. The fact is that the way the race is run frequently makes it an unpredictable poor betting proposition, period. Just enjoy it, or not, as the spectacle it is and bet it as a lark. As for serious betting opportunities, look at more fairly, and sanely, run races.
Bob