Re: Michael - On "class" alone + NC Tony (636 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: October 30, 2006 06:04PM
NC Tony,
You are right, My Typhoon might press the lead as well, leaving Wait a While 3rd. Either way, I don't expect a hot pace, which would string out the field and allow for Ouija Board to get a nicer trip (see, I factored "pace" in, without blasphemy). But seriously, the strung out fields and faster paces do allow for closers to get better trips and I don't see that in this race.
Michael,
I don't see making a big win bet on wait A while. You and I have talked, I hate chalk (much more than you do!!). However, I don't mind singling Wait a While, at around 3-1 in the pick-4, because I don't like favorites in any of the other three legs. I think the Juvy colts and fillies are both wide open, and I think that although Henny Hughes is formidable, i can play others in that race that are prices (although Commentator was one of them and is now dropped out).
I am contemplating the late pick 4 now, as I can't decide whether to play against Bernardini or not. There is certainly money to be made betting against him, but I am not sure I can play against him with any kind of conviction.