Re: Hey Jerry & Arkansas Derby (630 Views)
Posted by:
Caradoc (IP Logged)
Date: April 15, 2007 12:36AM
CTC: If you think that Teuflesberg ran "significantly better" than a 4 or a 5 (let's say at least 2 points better), then you must think that a) the winner went forward at least 2 points, b) SS ran no worse than a zero, and perhaps paired his negative 2, c) Zanjero and Great Hunter no worse than paired their tops, and perhaps also ran new tops, and d) -- and here's the kicker -- Time Squared, who has one of the worst-looking lines of any horse to run the Blue Grass in recent history, went forward at least 4 points. Doesn't all that seem statistically improbable to you?