richiebee Wrote:
---------------------------------
>
>
> Like you have said, you really have to wait to see
> who's in the gate and where
> but I hate to say I'm looking at 2 who won their
> last prep on poly: The Pa bred
> Hard Spun and the Rug Warrior, Dominican. Nobiz
> could be 8- 10/1 and is
> very bettable at that number.
>
> The problem for me is that I want to play the Oaks
> Derby Double, and Pletcher's
> Rags to Riches was bet like death and taxes in all
> 3 rounds of the Oaks Future
> wager. All 3 of her lifetime wins have come at
> Santa Anita, the most recent of
> which was a blowout in the SA Oaks at 2/5 in a 5
> horse field. If you beat her,
> almost any double should be lucrative. My problem
> is I haven't seen many of
> these filies run; will have to go to the
> videotape.


Richiebee

Take a look at Sealy Hill another rug runner.Her Bourbonette was solid on the same day that Hard Spun and Dominican won over the Turfway poly.Nice turn move and she was able to hang on against Panty Raid another Pletcher.I grabbed 40-1 in the last Oaks pool.

Hard Spun has a nice looking graph,but that Lanes End was a perfect trip stalking Starbase and Bullara who offered no resistance on the turn.Will have to pass better horses on the front end and then hold off some real runners in behind.Tall order and Larry Jones is a brutal 5% at CD.

Dominican sprouts wings when he gets out in the clear.An honest pace will only help.His CD #'s from last year weren't bad.I think he'll be fine on dirt.Trip and traffic-he'll need to get lucky.Look for the pink silks.

I'm leaning to AGS getting the jump off the turn,but Dominican could be a bear.