Tony as for my picks in the Derby, I'll post them again, but not right now. Having bet the race since 1988, I've won six Derbies and finished second in about as many. I think thats a pretty good record, though it should be better. To my knowledge Beyer has never won a Derby.

I still think I bet the best horse in the Derby last year, Sinister Minister, but its seems apparent at this point hes never going to come back to that race. TGraph has a theory that really big efforts can undo a horse and that may have been Sinisters fate. TGraph will probably hold to that belief with Bellamy Road. That is that the big Wood undid him. I believe in the Big Race stress factor, but sometimes disagree with how big a race is. Sinisters Bluegrass was clearly big, but I've never completely dismissed part of it was horse for course big. Which brings us to the current issue.

Was Dominican's Bluegrass win really a big win and was is run over a formful surface?

Ironically, it was run at the very same track. Which by all appearances now has as big, or an even bigger horse for course bias.

Dominican vs. Teuflesberg...head to head?

NoCarolinaTony Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Ctc,
>
> Dominican has improved since the ridgling became a
> gelding. His race at churchill behind AGS and Tiz
> wnderfule was actually quite good but prior to the
> procedure.
>
> I think you all best consider these facts in
> addition to the RUG connotation, cause as we know
> we have seen horses jump up from Rug to dirt
> before.
>
> NC Tony