Re: derby (692 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 18, 2007 08:27PM
After a cursory look, the Arkansas Derby looked fast and Curlin seemed to win in hand. Have great trouble believing it only scored a 103 on Beyer and have no idea what TGraph scored it. If its about a negative 1 how could you possibly consider Curlin a toss?
Dominican has looked like a plausible racehorse on Poly. However on Dirt he has been less than stellar. If theres an extremely hot Derby pace and/or he catches the right part of Churchill's lanes, he could potentially catch some of the board. (The right lane has been very important the last two years.) Believing his Bluegrass effort was a fairly good effort theres just no reason to believe he will be nearly as effective upon a traditional surface. He couldn't get within 6 of Any Given Saturday in November. If he's outdistanced that one since then, I sure can't discern it.
Its gonna be a fun one. Theres some good horses in there and a couple with big big chances at big big odds.
imallin Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Curlin is a great throwout. The Media is going to
> talk him up like he's the next Barbaro. Make him
> prove it at short odds in what is going to be an
> amazing betting race.
>
> Look at it this way...There's only 1 Derby.
> There's only 1 race with 20 betting interests in
> America with the shot to get rich on a dollar box.
> Toss the chalk. You can bet a 3-1 shot any of the
> other 364 days of the year at any track in the
> country anytime you want. Don't 'waste' this
> golden opportunity by chalking out.
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