Re: Pucker Up (RotW) (376 Views)
Posted by:
stillinger (IP Logged)
Date: September 16, 2007 12:58AM
EJXD2 Wrote:
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> At the price she was an automatic toss.
I don't even agree with this. She was dominant in front, and she finishes and she loves the surface, and she is back in form. It's even true that the turf courses in VA and ILL have overlap in terms of type and length in general - Red Giant ran big both places for instance.
Who was supposed to keep up with her early? To beat her, you have to keep her wide, slow up the ground, her be out of condition which would have been hard to argue off her race in VA, and following her career, period. She was best! AND the speed. Like other turfers that ran in front. If you can finish and you start that from in front? Lure, Sabin, even John Henry was best when he ran in front when he was old. regardless the figure, if you get to choose, choose the one that can lead and finish.
I don't think you should BELEIVE in a figure, rather in your ability to use a figure to your advantage. In fact, that's probably what the vendor would counsel.
This is not a pace figure. It is not impossible to beat her, you just need some other pace elements than were present last week. If you run it again, maybe the connections of the second speed will figure out an angle to cut into her advantage, and like a man said here, there was a little jam, she got a great break, but she breaks great. This number, good as it is, ain't magic, especially on the turf. There is probably a disclaimer to that effect somewhere on site.
Maybe she could draw the rail and have to stand in the gate a long time, and get hot? Those horses didn't have much chance, and Jerry's comment that she was a dead underlay is sound overall, but you couldn't have paid me to bet against her in the win slot. I am very old fashioned. There are easier things to do. The stake tomorrow isn't one of them to me.