Re: Yeeeeoooowwww (490 Views)
Posted by:
TGAB (IP Logged)
Date: October 11, 2007 07:50PM
Silver Charm I'm not suggesting or implying anything.
I don't know people's motivations. I do know that some people don't want to read the data. They want us to make selections for them. (They've told me.) So we do. We like to think we're pretty good, and we give an earnest effort.
What I'm also saying is that we make the selections the night before based on the morning lines. Conditions can change--scratches, weather, odds. People that buy the data can adapt to these changes and make more informed, BETTER, decisions than we can.
And even if conditions don't change substantively, frankly, we get some right and more wrong. Customers out there, such as you, may have a better feel for a horse, line, trainer, etc. based on your experience reading the TG data.
And you may also have a different threshold as to what constitutes value and a legitimate bet.
This isn't rocket science but it does require work and study.
Bordercollie is partly right. The horse fit and the odds were generous. But Nick also thought, based on his experience, the horse had a good shot of rebounding. Now maybe he could have wrote more, but he's looking at a lot of races and often his and my decisions come down to experience and a feel for what works and what doesn't.