"with a few speed types involved, and with Day aboard, look for Farda Amiga to take serious money,"

This race is being run at Arlington Park (not in KY), and all of the top American jockeys are riding in it, with a vast pool of bettors-- why would Pat Day's appearance on Farda Amiga's back significantly affect the price on this one?

"and Bailey takes money period........"

Wasn't Squirtle Squirt more than 9-1 in last year's BC while a horse ridden by Victor Espinoza was less than half the price? It's BC Day, Michael-- prices being deflated because of the jockeys shouldn't be a big concern. Putting it another way, Edgar Prado hasn't won many BC races, has he? Than why will TCL take so much more money than Imperial Gesture?


"and not one person likes Azeri on top (including myself) .......the odds will be higher than most think... As for Azeri, she is an obvious contender, but I think she will go off around 7-5, which is still too low for me."

You seem confused. "Most" don't think her odds will be as low as 7-5.