Marc At wrote:
>
> I also wonder if the Paco Gonzalez stat cited in the analysis
> was a bit misleading. 26% overall and 40% off of layoffs, the
> analyst made a simplistic (?) case that Paco is the type of
> trainer that gets them to pop off the bench, and their form
> declines after that... Is that really true? If only 10-20% of
> his runners are layoff runners, and he clicks at 40% with
> those runners, then what would that make him with his other
> runners? 20%? Higher? If it's ~20%, doesn't that make Paco
> Gonzales an *excellent* trainer in races other than "off the
> bench"?
>
> It would seem to me he may specialize in layoff situations,
> but he's excellent all-around, no?

TG--My comment and yours are not mutually exclusive. His horses do best off layoffs, not as well after that, and win a good % anyway. Came Home went back last time, and won. But you are better off betting his horses when fresh, and if they run big numbers and go off short subsequently, sometimes betting against them.



TGJB