I had this one checked off until I looked at the actual pp's. I can't come up with a pace scenario that favors this filly -- I think they'll go much faster than a :50+ half and 1:16 6f today.

Thoro-Pattern indicates 4% top but 54% pair here; another pair (10+) would only seem to be good if numerous other horses don't run.

Still like her? Don't let me talk you off of her. How about a backup ticket? Or, if you leave her off and make it through the first leg, play her straight up for small if she's a price.