TGJB,

I wanted to follow up on your earlier post regarding changing moisture content.

Your post suggests that figures based on so-called "objectively constructed variants" are more likely to be inconsistent or misleading than figures which try to take into account changing track speeds within a card (e.g. Thoro-graph).

If this is the case, it implies that t-graph users might enjoy an advantage over other bettors when evaluating horses that have raced on certain track-changing days.

Have you, or any other sheet users, noticed more success when betting on or against horses that have previously raced over tracks which experienced radically changing speeds and therefore were given suspect numbers by the masses?

thanks,
charlie