I have brought up several examples of this over the years, often when I do the day in question, before the horses run back. I mostly do it for big race days where everyone knows and can follow the horses, and because Ragozin sometimes posts figures for those days, a practice he abandoned for last years Belmont after getting his clock cleaned several times.

Two examples that come to mind are the 00 Wood numbers leading to a completely different analysis of the first 2 finishers in the Derby, and the 01 BC, where I predicted that the horses who ran on the rail (Ragozin did not catch the dead rail that everyone else did) would go forward next out. I also had the track speeding up throughout that day where Ragozin used the same track speed, and said almost all the horses in the first 3 races would go forward on Ragozin figures, which they did. Details can be found in the archives on this site, and others may be able to come up with other examples I have forgotten, aside from the countless examples that come up day to day.

One more thing-- not all variant makers take the dogmatic approach Ragozin does. I will be addressing a recent Laurel day soon, and having seen what Beyer did with the day I can tell you he had the right idea. It will be very interesting and educational to see what Ragozin does with the day-- "objective" is not the same as objective.



Post Edited (02-26-03 15:09)

TGJB