TGJB,

I'm well aware of the 2000 Wood discrepancy, having been on this site over the past couple years.

I guess what I'm really asking is the following: wouldn't TG users be better off focusing more of their efforts on those tracks, such as aqu, golden gate and monmouth, that would theoretically have more significant and frequent intra-day variant changes?

Maybe the inefficiencies at these tracks (assuming there are more cases of disparate figures) deserve increasing attention from handicappers, especially since, bounce and condition theories aren't, at least in the former case, as powerful in terms of provding value as they once were.


Your point regarding horses coming off the 01 BC dead rail is well taken, but it seems that if that NYRA superintendent is right, moisture content would be all over the place at a place like golden gate fields. As a result, it would seem that there are more opportunties at such ovals.

Or are such days where you have to split variants drastically just as common at less notorious tracks, which aren't near water or other havoc producing problems?

charley