Re: Laurel 2/22 (775 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: February 28, 2003 01:08PM
First of all, I have a problem addressing anyone as The Kid, since that was my nickname when I was in the Ragozin operation.
However: the direct answer is that it would have made no difference whether the races were consecutive-- if anything it's easier to justify splitting them if they are not, since there is more time for the track to change.
On the larger issue, I'll say what I said to David Patent a couple of years ago-- horses do crazy things all the time, but groups of horses seldom do. You might want to check out that post(Figure Making Methodology, reposted here 1/31 this year). But yes, when you have a shifting track, and a 4 or 5 horse field of erratic horses where somebody wins by 7, or a field of mostly first time starters, things get tricky, and your chance of getting it right decreases. When it decreases to the point of becoming a guess I leave a box.
TGJB