Training turf horses is very different from dirt horses. That why the Euro. do so poorly in the Derby. Look at Godolphin, they are trying to use turf tactics to get to the Derby. In Europe, a horse can come off a 10 month layoff and win a 1 1/2 race against the best horses in the world. For whatever reason, it can't be done on dirt against the very best horses. How many horses have won the Derby off a 6 wk layoff? How about the BC Classic? I don't really know why this is but it's just happens this way. One explanation is that it is much more demanding on horses to train them on dirt vs turf.
Also, I agree with Chris, I think Empire Maker ran a -2. TNL probably ran a 4-5 and Indy Dancer ran a 4-5. You have to give them this # since it's unlikely that they ran a 9 if E.M. ran a 2. and S. Swinger would have to run abouta 13 if E.M. ran a 2. So a -2 is more likely. Now according to bounce theory this horse has to bounce in his next race which is only 4 wks away after running one of the fastest 3yr old spring figure of all time. Now, who is going to play this horse to bounce and bounce big in his next race?