Re: Will Buddy Gill Bounce?? (685 Views)
Posted by:
Bystander (IP Logged)
Date: April 05, 2003 01:00AM
Have watched all the disputes going on between both boards over the last 5 years (or however long it has been). Interesting. Handicapped this race using both Ragozin and Thorograph. Although there are lots of differences on individual horses both in terms of relative number strength and pattern, my conclusion on the race ends up being the same regardless of which product I look at.
The horse with the strongest number already run looks too good. Although a lot of people seem to think he is spent, his pattern on both sheet products is actually excellent. If you were to add 5 points to all of his numbers on either set of sheets, people would be slobbering over this horse as a pattern play -- in normal situations, I believe most rational handicappers would forgive the last number (not that is sucks on its own right). I do not know where he will be Kentucky Derby Day, but I am sure he will run the best number on both products on April 5....would be afraid a bad trip will allow a slower horse to win but the jockey change does give me some comfort.
Don't know how much value will end up being there when all is said and done, but, if the price is right, this could be a solid punch play.
Good Luck to all!