I'm not sure any special methods were needed, to make a horse 4-1 (a bit low but we won't quibble) who was beaten less than a length by the favorite and who had no particular faults other than the NY bred thing (irrelevant) and the gelding thing (irrelevant, if an impressive statistic).

The only reason the gelding theory made any sense at at, would be to assume that the boyz in ky made sure that a prestigious win was not 'wasted' on such a beast. Maybe Alex H. is past his prime.

Everyones figures put the winner right in the mix, without any projections or fancy analysis needed. Of course , this is all after the fact, but sometimes a cigar is just a cigar, if you know what I mean.

Hey, last time I payed any serious attn to the game, Tagg was a player. Can't let Frankel win everything.