Jerry, I can believe that horses are getting somewhat faster than they were in years past,"somewhat faster". I believe the nutrition and body of training knowledge has grown somewhat and spread. But I do know they've been "jazzing" Churchill on derby day for years. Certainly since Monarchos Derby. This year there were a rash of breakdowns around Derby time and the horsemen there are planning a meeting with the track super. I understand projection and par hooking. On days when you're creating numbers for a "jazzed" surface do you factor both in assigning your figure?

I have another theory. It's that the body of par times is not as reliable as it was in years past and I'll get into that at another time.

lol

CtC