Silver Charm,

I have gone into this in a lot more detail in other posts ("Figure Making Methodology" 1/31/03, etc.), but in general Ragozin makes a lot of unwarranted assumptions about unrelated things and events. I have found that there is no fixed relationship between the variants of 1 and 2 turn races, and not NECESSARILY one between races on a day. Most of this is probably true due to changes in moisture content caused by track maintenance, shade, evaporation etc., but whatever the reason, I started out by thinking Ragozin was right about this stuff, and found out that dogmatically making assumptions was a really bad idea. I would add that the two people in this office who previously made figures for Ragozin went through the same process and emphatically agree, and they definitely don't agree with me about everything.

As far as any comments about the Sheets nailing races go, I think my head to head record vs. Friedman in big races speaks for itself-- witness the volume when LF finally "hit" one, and silence after so many other races-- when was the last time he "hit"? If those guys were judging accuracy by results of races run they would have switched long ago.



TGJB