Re: The Bet (674 Views)
Posted by:
dpatent (IP Logged)
Date: June 09, 2003 01:58PM
Jerry,
Please read my post carefully. I did not use the term 'fastest' in a general sense. I spoke of 'fastest' prior number and whether a horse was overall 'faster'.
On Ragozin, TMW had paired up 5- in his last two races. Scrimshaw's best route number was a 6". Dynever had a 4- but had bounced to an 8 in the LS Derby with trouble.
Supervisor had an 8 top.
So, TMW was the 4th fastest in terms of top but was -- in my view -- a better play than Dynever to run better in the Belmont, given Dynever's lack of foundation, the large move to the 4- two back, and the size of his reaction in the LS Derby.
Again, I didn't cash on the Belmont but I don't think that anybody was hiding anything in their analysis of TMW.
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