To my eye I didn't see anything run in FL yesterday that looked like a serious KY Derby contender. These colts would really have to show me something in their training leading up to the big one to be considered.

Agree about Upstart. He's been wound tight since January and he lays it down every time. I don't see how he could put forth a top effort again, and I don't think he wants to go 1 1/4 anyway.

I also don't think the FL Derby winner has enough seasoning to handle the grueling trip he's likely to see in a 20 horse field and deliver a top effort, especially since it's a Florida based Pletcher horse. Not saying he can't, but I wouldn't bet him to. He was absolutely gassed with an empty tank at the end of that race.

Will concede the Gulfstream strip has been quirky past week and was again yesterday. So I reserve the right to change my opinion if one or more of these comes back to really impress in the AM in Louisville. But for now I am out.