RICH Wrote:
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> frosted pairs good numbers at 2 then makes that 4
> point move, you could have played for that bounce
> first time 3 yr, acclimating to GP, you would have
> wanted him to get back to the top 2nd out, he did
> not, not a good sign. However, he looked like he
> would at top of stretch in the FOY and we now know
> of the corected problem, and subsequent 2 pt move
> in wood. Looks good to me with only 2 pts of
> development from 2 yr old.
>
> Upstart pairs very good numbers 2/3rd out, you can
> play for that bounce shipping to SA, on a day when
> eastern horses bombed out in BC. First time out
> did what you would like a good horse to do, 2 pt
> top, the off, and back to the top. Is it a jumping
> off point or does it look like the on/off
> pattern.
>
> This is a very close call to me, it comes down to
> what I know, and the frosted issue trumps the
> upstart interveneing on/off pattern and sick issue

I don't know how helpful this is....but in broad sweeping terms.....i see these horses as being very close in talent level...but.....it seems that Upstart is probably 3 months ahead of where Frosted is. I would expect both of these horses to at some point pay a price for their efforts....i would expect Upstart to pay that price sooner than Frosted will....the reason is that Upstart has done more earlier....this may or may not be relevant for the Derby....but my guess for the next several months is that Frosted will fire the minus 2 level efforts for longer than Upstart will.