quintons gold rush (1172 Views)
Posted by:
Michael D. (IP Logged)
Date: April 24, 2004 10:25AM
breeding: this horse should be at his best running from 1m to 1 1/16. sire, wild rush, did his best work at 1m and less, but was able to stretch to 9f in a few weak stakes races. average winning distance for his offspring is 6.8f, a bit short, and the TG sire stats suggest anything past 9f will be stretching it a bit. dam out of mr prospector was unraced, but second dam was a very nice turf mare in europe, and could get the longer distances. wild again and mr prospector blood leave this one with a dosage of 3.73 . based on breeding, 10f should be a difficult, but not impossible task for QGR.
pace scenerio: trainers tend to stick to the game plan when coming off stakes victories, and i expect the same here (:47.1 half in the lexington). should be one of two or three horses chasing LH, and should get a decent trip.
the numbers: the horse is fast, and improved with the switch to assmussen, a trainer who was hit with a drug suspension last year. a major concern, however, is that the horse ran a very weak final eighth in the SA derby, and was used quite hard in his last race (his third race in six weeks). now they are attempting to wheel him back on two weeks rest, in the KD no less. i have always been a big fan of this horse, and i think he has the potential to be a future champion miler, but i do not understand the current game plan. i will not be using QGR in this year's KD.