Divne Intervention and Value Plus (603 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 25, 2004 03:03PM
Smarty could certainly 0-2-X. If he does it will be on the big Rebel, which Jerry says is the fastest number he can recall giving a 3yr old. I tend to believe him because I've rarely seen anything like that race.
Then you have to figure the reasons he may not 0-2-X. Is that pattern as applicable to developing 3 yr olds? Who has 0-2-X'd this year? Perhaps Value Plus, though personally I believe he tried to run too fast early in his last and met better horses. But he did appear to X. There may be others, I just can't come up with them off the top of my head.
He's developed a reasonable amount between two and three. It could be argued on developemen the negative 3 was not out of his ballpark. It may have set him back somewhat in the Ark, but he still ran a negative to my reckoning and he did it overcoming a muddy track and spotting weight.
Bottom line is he may 0-2-X, but I think its more likely that the 10 marks beats him, not a X off a three point top.
Regarding Ando I think he works his handicapping into his "backstretch insights". I'd rather listen to water drip.
This in today's online Form:
Value Plus - Florida Derby runner-up worked four furlongs in 49.62 seconds over Belmont Park's main track. Trainer Todd Pletcher reiterated that Value Plus would only run should Lion Heart or Smarty Jones defect.
Pletcher's logic is interesting isn't it? I'm still trying to figure it out. Is it as simple as 3 fast horses is worse than 2 fast horses?
Post Edited (04-25-04 15:29)