AP and Big Brown (970 Views)
Posted by:
ringato3 (IP Logged)
Date: May 17, 2015 03:25PM
I know this comparison was drawn before the Preakness and some posters punched a hole or two in, big brown had no real 2 year old foundation, and different spacing into the derby, but I really think after the preakness it is worth another look.
I didn't bet big brown in the derby and took another swing against him in the preakness. But after watching the Preakness I said "I am not wasting any more money attacking that beast". For those that don't remember the race that well, it is worth watching again. Desormeaux literally sat on his back, not asking him to run at all, until the top of the stretch, then asked him to run, he opened up 3 lengths in an 1/8th of a mile burst, then shut him down. It could not have looked any easier. Then, the figure came back. From memory, a couple point backward move. A dogmatic sheets player friend of insisted that made him a bet against in the Belmont. (Here u guys call them Kool Aid drinkers. I said the backward move was irrelevant, it was a manufactured backward move, based on the horse never being asked to run. The friend offered a friendly wager of dinner at smith and wolensky with spouses, I got big brown and he got the field. I did a rare thing and sat out a triple crown race and watched him go all in against big brown, with supers with him out of the top 2 slots on all tickets and out of all slots on many tickets. Of course, no D'tara, so he was right but wrong.
The reason I bring this up again, is that I would be willing to bet anything that off the 1w/1w trip yesterday, TGJB is going to have AP sitting on a déjà vu like couple point backward move, in a race where he seemingly whistled and didn't expend a lot of energy.
I think the comparison is eerie. Yes, big brown had foot problems. Doesn't AP? Not the same. But similar.
And one thing I am 100% sure of is that the field AP will face, if they show up as planned, is 5 to 10 times better than the one big brown faced.
Just sayin... Worth considering
Rob