Re: An early look at the Belmont pace (421 Views)
Posted by:
toppled (IP Logged)
Date: May 25, 2015 12:23PM
pizzalove:
Outside of Materiality & Carpe Diem, nobody in the race is capable of running with him early unless they're on a suicide mission. War Story going out is moronic & he'll finish dead last if he guns out there.
Since you were so spot on in your Derby pace analysis, beware that you're right again. If you have the race pace figured out, don't bet against yourself on a prayer that the jockeys will do something counter to their & their horses normal behavior.
Contrary to many here, I just want to see a Triple Crown again. I don't even care much about betting the race. I'm sure there will be plenty of other races that provide greater value that day. Even if AP loses, the winner will be among the logical choices & not pay much. About half this field has no chance & the odds will reflect that. Anyone looking for the next D'Tara is in the wrong year.
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