As I have posted earlier, Lion Heart's pace figures are far and above faster than the others. This is Spend A Buck waiting to happen.

Lion Heart has no one to run with him because anyone who does, is gonna cook themselves, and nobody wants to go into the race knowing they are gonna get cooked. It's the Derby - they want a chance to win and everyone knows one thing: "We don't know if we can get a mile and a quarter, because we have never run a mile and a quarter. Therefore we will take our horse(s) back, save something for the end and hope that Lion Heart is a sprinter and collapses after a mile." (I just saw Jerry's post, sorry for the redundancy)

But using the TG figs, he's lightly raced this year, both races are an improvement over his 2 year old year and he enters the race as the co-2nd fastest horse. Only Smarty Jones has run faster and I think most on this board have been in agreement that he is an 0-2-X and likely off the board. So we have to beat The Cliff's Edge, and he is also a strong bounce candidate. He has always bounced off of tops.

Lion Heart's developement is gradual and a forward move or pair up - given an uncontested lead - is quite likely.

Unless Mike burns him up, he'll have to fall down to lose here.

This is a Triple Crown waiting to happen, because after this race, they go to speed favoring Pimlico with STILL no one else to run with him and he will STILL be lightly raced.



Post Edited (04-29-04 20:03)