As Jerry said in his analysis, the key to handicapping the Kentucky Derby
was deciding what to do with SMARTY JONES, a colt who came into the race
off some mind-boggling, freaky fast ThoroGraphs. Jerry said this was "a little
disorienting" and it certainly was. Especially, I think, to veteran ThoroGraph
users. [Simplistic "best last two Beyer" systems touted all over the web must've
thrived in Saturday's race. They finally got their Derby favorite.]

Would SMARTY JONES implode? Or hang tough for at least one more race?

Given SMARTY JONES's freaky ThoroGraphs, his tactical speed, and the
late afternoon thunderstorm that left a wet track which favored his style, he
was a "must use" in the win slot on those counts for sure. But there was another
reason. Without going into a long discussion about SMARTY JONES, Bobby Bonds
and modern pharmacology, reference is made to the following figure-based stat from
SMARTY JONES's ThoroGraph sheet:

Trainer John Servis: 1st Time Lasix - 78 Starts - 49% Top! Wow!

If you were on the bubble about what to do with this colt - to leave him off the
win slot of your exotics, or leave him in - that startling stat might've swayed you.
It did me. SMARTY JONES may not have run a new top. But with first Lasix, he
"hung tough" enough to get the job done.