Re: SMARTY JONES and ThoroGraph's data-based stats... (476 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: May 02, 2004 03:03PM
Yeah, the tricky part of creating and working with these studies, as we are finding out as we work through the uncharted waters, is setting up the criteria. The delay in putting out the pattern studies (we had hoped to have them for the Derby, and could have put them out "raw") was due to trying to figure out exactly what we should be doing-- for example, if you are doing studies of June 3yo's off 0-2-x, do you count horses with 3 lifetime starts? 4? 5? 6? More? Split colts and fillies? Use horses with distance, surface, or trainer changes?
In setting up a lot of the figure based trainer studies we used criteria that seemed reasonable at the time, working it out as we went along. We are going to review all this over the next few days and weeks. You should have the pattern stats by the Preakness, and maybe by next weekend-- the big delays come when we change criteria, and have to have the computer do a new run of the whole data base.
After that we will go on to other projects. Catalin, that means you.
We are moving forward very quickly now. Honestly, the stuff we are doing and will be doing is so far ahead of anyone else it is not funny.
TGJB
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