It looks like Rag. and TG had the race pretty close -- which is amazing considering all of the things that happened to the track on Saturday. I pity the person who had to make the variants for that day.

Of course, for Jerry, it was not problem, since he already knew what every horse was going to run :)

As negative as I am on horses who run 1s and below (Rag. scale) this early in their lives, SJ is going to be a very tough beat in the Preakness. Moving forward off of the AK Derby almost back to his old top makes it very hard for me to play him to 'X' in the Preakness. Now, on TG, he looks a bit like Peace Rules, so a bit more negative. Still, he is so much faster than just about every other possible horse in the Preakness. I am not seeing a ton of value there.

The bet-against may be Lion Heart, as he strikes me as somewhat ouchy based on his pattern and he is on an 0-2-X pattern (again, on Rag.).